Race 2B

psu-gorge-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

20.0%
Within 2 Positions
6.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Peter McGrath 26.1% 18.2% 15.5% 13.3% 10.3% 8.6% 4.4% 2.5% 0.7% 0.4%
Ashley Vincent 12.2% 12.1% 13.2% 14.1% 12.9% 11.3% 11.3% 6.5% 4.6% 1.8%
Lily Grimshaw 19.3% 18.0% 15.9% 15.9% 12.8% 8.7% 5.4% 2.1% 1.7% 0.2%
Ian Reeves 5.4% 7.5% 9.6% 8.1% 11.7% 11.6% 13.6% 14.0% 11.8% 6.7%
Margaret Okrasinski 6.7% 7.0% 7.3% 7.7% 10.0% 10.0% 14.4% 16.4% 11.5% 9.0%
Ryan Fritsen 5.8% 6.1% 7.6% 7.0% 7.6% 11.7% 12.6% 14.5% 14.8% 12.3%
Paul Foley 14.0% 17.1% 15.7% 15.7% 12.8% 9.8% 7.6% 4.4% 2.5% 0.4%
Liam Quinlan 4.7% 7.8% 7.3% 8.3% 9.7% 11.5% 11.9% 15.1% 13.6% 10.1%
Tai Kami 3.7% 3.2% 4.2% 6.1% 6.2% 10.5% 10.8% 12.4% 20.4% 22.5%
Laura Marshall 2.1% 3.0% 3.7% 3.8% 6.0% 6.3% 8.0% 12.1% 18.4% 36.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.