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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+2.08vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+1.33vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.79+0.45vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-1.08vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-0.81vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.200.00vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.18-0.34vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.52+0.43vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.71-0.34vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.34-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1621.3%1st Place
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3.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.7718.2%1st Place
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3.45Cornell University1.7917.7%1st Place
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2.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1323.4%1st Place
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4.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9711.5%1st Place
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6.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.203.9%1st Place
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6.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.182.5%1st Place
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8.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.520.4%1st Place
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8.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.710.5%1st Place
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8.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.340.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Murray | 21.3% | 21.6% | 17.5% | 18.4% | 12.5% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 18.2% | 18.6% | 19.9% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 17.7% | 17.1% | 18.5% | 16.5% | 15.6% | 10.1% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 23.4% | 22.3% | 20.1% | 15.8% | 12.2% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Heather Kerns | 11.5% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 16.4% | 18.7% | 17.3% | 8.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Owen Carolan | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 21.9% | 25.4% | 15.4% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Owen Harrod | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 17.2% | 26.7% | 22.1% | 11.1% | 2.5% |
| Bennett O'Keefe | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 9.5% | 19.9% | 26.6% | 32.5% |
| Thomas Allison | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 8.2% | 16.6% | 27.1% | 38.9% |
| Jack Carter | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 5.5% | 11.9% | 21.9% | 29.3% | 24.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.