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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.79+2.42vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+0.92vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+0.38vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-0.93vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-0.77vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.52+2.44vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.20-0.99vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.34+0.28vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.18-2.48vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.71-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42Cornell University1.7918.6%1st Place
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2.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1323.9%1st Place
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3.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.7719.4%1st Place
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3.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1620.9%1st Place
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4.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.979.7%1st Place
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8.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.520.6%1st Place
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6.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.203.4%1st Place
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8.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.340.4%1st Place
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6.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.182.3%1st Place
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8.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.710.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Devling | 18.6% | 17.2% | 18.1% | 16.8% | 14.4% | 10.2% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 23.9% | 22.7% | 18.4% | 17.3% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 19.4% | 16.9% | 17.2% | 17.5% | 16.0% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Murray | 20.9% | 21.5% | 20.2% | 16.6% | 11.5% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Heather Kerns | 9.7% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 21.2% | 16.4% | 7.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Bennett O'Keefe | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 9.7% | 20.2% | 30.3% | 29.1% |
| Owen Carolan | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 21.3% | 25.2% | 14.8% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| Jack Carter | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 10.8% | 23.2% | 28.0% | 25.4% |
| Owen Harrod | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 16.8% | 27.5% | 20.1% | 9.8% | 2.8% |
| Thomas Allison | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 17.1% | 26.2% | 41.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.