Race 4B

psu-gorge-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.0%
Within 2 Positions
6.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Lily Grimshaw 22.6% 18.8% 16.2% 11.7% 12.0% 8.1% 5.3% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5%
Liam Quinlan 6.2% 5.3% 6.7% 9.0% 10.2% 10.7% 12.5% 15.3% 13.2% 10.9%
Paul Foley 14.7% 15.9% 13.3% 16.2% 13.0% 11.9% 6.7% 5.1% 2.8% 0.4%
Margaret Okrasinski 4.8% 6.6% 8.3% 8.2% 9.9% 12.9% 14.3% 13.0% 13.6% 8.4%
Ashley Vincent 12.5% 12.9% 12.6% 14.1% 13.9% 12.1% 9.5% 6.6% 4.3% 1.5%
Ian Reeves 6.8% 8.5% 8.2% 8.0% 10.7% 12.2% 13.1% 14.4% 11.0% 7.1%
Peter McGrath 21.6% 20.2% 18.7% 13.7% 10.9% 7.0% 4.8% 2.2% 0.6% 0.3%
Tai Kami 2.9% 4.9% 4.6% 6.5% 6.8% 8.3% 11.1% 14.0% 18.7% 22.2%
Laura Marshall 2.9% 2.3% 4.0% 3.5% 4.5% 6.8% 9.9% 11.1% 16.4% 38.6%
Ryan Fritsen 5.0% 4.6% 7.4% 9.1% 8.1% 10.0% 12.8% 15.0% 17.9% 10.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.