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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+2.14vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.79+1.46vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+0.41vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+0.26vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-2.02vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.20+0.29vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.18-0.09vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.02+0.22vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.62-1.42vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.52-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1621.4%1st Place
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3.46Cornell University1.7918.1%1st Place
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3.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.7717.9%1st Place
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4.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9711.0%1st Place
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2.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1323.1%1st Place
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6.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.203.1%1st Place
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6.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.182.1%1st Place
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8.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.020.9%1st Place
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7.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.621.8%1st Place
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8.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.520.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Murray | 21.4% | 21.1% | 18.5% | 16.0% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 18.1% | 17.6% | 16.9% | 16.4% | 16.1% | 10.1% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 17.9% | 17.4% | 18.8% | 18.1% | 14.1% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Heather Kerns | 11.0% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 19.1% | 16.8% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| JJ Klempen | 23.1% | 21.6% | 18.8% | 17.9% | 10.8% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Carolan | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 10.8% | 18.9% | 22.1% | 17.7% | 9.2% | 3.2% |
| Owen Harrod | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 13.7% | 21.4% | 24.9% | 15.4% | 5.1% |
| Myles Holt | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 15.9% | 28.6% | 29.0% |
| Maxim Carle | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 15.8% | 24.4% | 21.9% | 15.4% |
| Bennett O'Keefe | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 23.5% | 47.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.