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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.79+2.52vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+1.47vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-0.04vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+0.26vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-1.83vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.20+0.22vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.62+0.58vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.52+0.81vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.18-2.19vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.02-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52Cornell University1.7916.4%1st Place
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3.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.7717.5%1st Place
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2.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1324.9%1st Place
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4.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9711.8%1st Place
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3.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1620.0%1st Place
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6.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.204.0%1st Place
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7.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.620.9%1st Place
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8.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.520.8%1st Place
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6.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.182.6%1st Place
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8.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.021.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Devling | 16.4% | 18.1% | 16.3% | 17.8% | 15.3% | 10.2% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 17.5% | 17.6% | 19.2% | 16.0% | 14.2% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| JJ Klempen | 24.9% | 21.9% | 17.3% | 15.9% | 11.5% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Heather Kerns | 11.8% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 16.6% | 19.4% | 16.3% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Will Murray | 20.0% | 20.5% | 20.0% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 7.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Owen Carolan | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 16.8% | 24.3% | 16.8% | 9.8% | 2.6% |
| Maxim Carle | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 24.2% | 22.7% | 14.7% |
| Bennett O'Keefe | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 12.5% | 21.1% | 50.1% |
| Owen Harrod | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 14.3% | 21.4% | 21.4% | 15.4% | 6.0% |
| Myles Holt | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 6.1% | 11.6% | 17.8% | 29.5% | 26.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.