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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.92+4.88vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.45+5.64vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.67+3.73vs Predicted
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4Cornell University3.35+3.69vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.90+4.57vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.18+2.50vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.71-0.61vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+1.41vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.87+0.80vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.22-1.43vs Predicted
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11University of Washington2.10+1.92vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota1.77+2.21vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii3.04-4.06vs Predicted
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14Columbia University2.43-2.75vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California2.57-4.06vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-8.80vs Predicted
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17Washington College2.29-4.76vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.96-4.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.88University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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7.64Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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6.73Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.69Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.57Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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8.5Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.39Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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9.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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9.8Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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8.57College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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12.92University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
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14.21University of Minnesota1.770.0%1st Place
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8.94University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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11.25Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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10.94University of Southern California2.570.0%1st Place
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7.2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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12.24Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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13.11University of Wisconsin1.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Hawkins | 11.6% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Emily Lambert | 9.1% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Lauren Turner | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Emilie Mademann | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 2.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.9% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% |
| Corey Hall | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 17.0% |
| Natalie Sinn | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 14.2% | 31.1% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Irene Jacqz | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% |
| Kayla McComb | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Mildred Conroy | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 10.1% |
| Bridget Murphy | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 17.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.