Race 3B

nu-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
William Styslinger 53.1% 27.3% 13.0% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Fergus Munro 14.0% 18.6% 21.4% 20.8% 13.6% 7.3% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Connor Caplis 3.5% 5.7% 7.6% 10.9% 14.7% 18.0% 17.0% 13.4% 7.0% 2.2%
Rachel Ward 9.8% 17.3% 20.1% 16.3% 15.9% 11.8% 6.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Alex Strassberg Alonso 11.1% 17.6% 19.4% 21.4% 15.3% 8.9% 3.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Luke Sadalla 2.8% 3.8% 5.7% 7.3% 11.1% 14.8% 18.2% 15.0% 14.5% 6.8%
Varoon Enjeti 1.5% 3.0% 4.4% 5.0% 9.3% 10.8% 16.2% 18.9% 20.6% 10.2%
Brady Boland 1.2% 2.5% 2.6% 3.5% 6.2% 8.3% 11.9% 17.2% 23.1% 23.4%
Luiza Wernz Muller 0.6% 1.1% 1.6% 2.4% 3.0% 6.2% 7.3% 11.9% 17.8% 48.1%
Annika Shah 2.4% 3.1% 4.2% 7.4% 9.6% 13.7% 15.7% 18.9% 15.7% 9.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.