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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.67+3.19vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont-0.05+3.63vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.39-0.13vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College0.03+1.45vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.08-1.58vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.41-1.19vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.10-1.88vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42+0.04vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.03-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.19Bates College0.6713.9%1st Place
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5.63University of Vermont-0.056.9%1st Place
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2.87Northeastern University1.3927.6%1st Place
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5.45Middlebury College0.036.0%1st Place
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3.42Dartmouth College1.0819.9%1st Place
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4.81Maine Maritime Academy0.4110.0%1st Place
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5.12University of New Hampshire0.108.5%1st Place
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8.04University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.421.1%1st Place
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5.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.036.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Ted Lutton | 13.9% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 1.5% |
Ella Towner | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 18.6% | 8.9% |
Everett Nash | 27.6% | 22.8% | 18.2% | 13.6% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Walter Chiles | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 16.9% | 7.3% |
Ben Sheppard | 19.9% | 19.2% | 17.1% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
Henri Richardsson | 10.0% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 3.2% |
Sam Harris | 8.5% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 5.9% |
Andy Giaya | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 12.8% | 66.0% |
Luke Kenahan | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 17.9% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.