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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.71+5.61vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.18+6.72vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.67+3.73vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.92+1.65vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.22+3.25vs Predicted
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6Cornell University3.35+1.78vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.57+3.99vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.90+1.47vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.45-1.70vs Predicted
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10University of Washington2.10+3.03vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-1.39vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.87-1.82vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii3.04-4.12vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-7.11vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.96-1.76vs Predicted
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16Columbia University2.43-4.37vs Predicted
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17Washington College2.29-4.75vs Predicted
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18University of Minnesota1.77-4.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.61Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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8.72Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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6.73Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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5.65University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.25College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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7.78Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.99University of Southern California2.570.0%1st Place
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9.47Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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7.3Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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13.03University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
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9.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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10.18Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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8.88University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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6.89St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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13.24University of Wisconsin1.960.0%1st Place
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11.63Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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12.25Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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13.79University of Minnesota1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Emily Lambert | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Amy Hawkins | 12.9% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Corey Hall | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Lauren Turner | 7.5% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 5.6% |
| Emilie Mademann | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 14.7% | 17.4% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Kayla McComb | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Bridget Murphy | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 18.1% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.3% |
| Mildred Conroy | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 12.3% |
| Natalie Sinn | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 15.5% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.