Race 2A

callagy-ross

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Ella Towner 6.9% 6.5% 8.0% 10.2% 10.5% 14.2% 16.0% 19.2% 8.6%
Everett Nash 27.2% 20.8% 18.6% 14.2% 9.2% 5.6% 2.9% 1.4% 0.2%
Ben Sheppard 18.6% 21.4% 17.8% 14.8% 11.5% 7.6% 5.2% 2.8% 0.4%
Sam Harris 8.0% 8.8% 10.5% 10.9% 13.5% 15.0% 14.6% 12.8% 5.9%
Ted Lutton 13.5% 13.9% 13.6% 14.7% 13.1% 12.7% 10.5% 6.0% 2.1%
Henri Richardsson 9.6% 10.2% 11.4% 13.7% 13.8% 14.8% 12.8% 10.1% 3.9%
Walter Chiles 8.1% 9.2% 8.1% 8.6% 11.8% 13.0% 15.5% 17.3% 8.5%
Andy Giaya 1.4% 1.8% 2.5% 2.7% 3.9% 4.3% 6.2% 13.9% 63.4%
Luke Kenahan 6.9% 7.6% 9.5% 10.2% 12.9% 12.8% 16.4% 16.7% 7.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.