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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.04+8.28vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.45+5.58vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.67+3.73vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.22+4.25vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+2.10vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+3.51vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.92-1.35vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.71-1.68vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.18-0.59vs Predicted
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10Washington College2.29+2.35vs Predicted
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11Cornell University3.35-3.06vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.90-2.05vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.87-3.39vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California2.57-3.29vs Predicted
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15University of Washington2.10-2.23vs Predicted
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16Columbia University2.43-4.34vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.96-3.60vs Predicted
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18University of Minnesota1.77-4.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.28University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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7.58Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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6.73Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.25College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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7.1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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9.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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5.65University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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6.32Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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8.41Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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12.35Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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7.94Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.95Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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9.61Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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10.71University of Southern California2.570.0%1st Place
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12.77University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
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11.66Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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13.4University of Wisconsin1.960.0%1st Place
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13.76University of Minnesota1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline Kennedy | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Emily Lambert | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Corey Hall | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Kayla McComb | 8.8% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Amy Hawkins | 12.8% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Mildred Conroy | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 11.0% |
| Lauren Turner | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Emilie Mademann | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 15.4% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% |
| Bridget Murphy | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 15.3% | 21.3% |
| Natalie Sinn | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 24.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.