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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.08+2.43vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.10+3.08vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.67+1.21vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont-0.05+1.58vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College0.03+0.46vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.41-1.20vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42+0.95vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.03-2.44vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.39-6.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43Dartmouth College1.0822.3%1st Place
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5.08University of New Hampshire0.108.7%1st Place
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4.21Bates College0.6712.4%1st Place
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5.58University of Vermont-0.056.2%1st Place
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5.46Middlebury College0.036.5%1st Place
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4.8Maine Maritime Academy0.419.7%1st Place
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7.95University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.421.4%1st Place
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5.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.037.0%1st Place
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2.93Northeastern University1.3925.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Ben Sheppard | 22.3% | 16.9% | 16.8% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
Sam Harris | 8.7% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 5.8% |
Ted Lutton | 12.4% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 1.4% |
Ella Towner | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 16.2% | 18.6% | 8.3% |
Walter Chiles | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 16.5% | 7.8% |
Henri Richardsson | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 3.4% |
Andy Giaya | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 64.5% |
Luke Kenahan | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 16.7% | 17.1% | 8.2% |
Everett Nash | 25.8% | 23.6% | 18.2% | 13.4% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.