Race 4A

callagy-ross

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Ben Sheppard 17.4% 19.4% 16.9% 15.7% 12.3% 9.7% 5.4% 2.9% 0.4%
Charles Morris 10.3% 10.4% 11.4% 11.8% 13.2% 13.8% 13.8% 11.2% 4.0%
Ted Lutton 12.7% 12.8% 13.8% 13.5% 14.0% 13.1% 11.3% 7.0% 1.9%
Luke Kenahan 5.9% 7.7% 8.5% 8.9% 11.0% 13.4% 16.2% 19.4% 9.2%
Walter Chiles 7.0% 8.3% 8.2% 9.7% 11.7% 14.1% 14.8% 19.8% 6.5%
Sam Harris 7.9% 8.3% 10.3% 12.4% 11.5% 12.2% 15.8% 16.0% 5.6%
Henri Richardsson 9.8% 10.1% 11.8% 12.0% 13.5% 14.2% 13.8% 11.1% 3.8%
Andy Giaya 1.4% 1.2% 2.5% 2.8% 3.6% 3.2% 5.6% 11.1% 68.5%
Everett Nash 27.7% 21.8% 16.8% 13.1% 9.3% 6.3% 3.4% 1.6% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.