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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.46+3.88vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.39+0.96vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.10+2.26vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.03+1.62vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College0.03+0.52vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.41-1.08vs Predicted
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7Bates College0.67-2.69vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42+0.01vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.08-5.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.88University of Vermont0.469.0%1st Place
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2.96Northeastern University1.3927.6%1st Place
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5.26University of New Hampshire0.108.3%1st Place
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5.62Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.036.6%1st Place
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5.52Middlebury College0.036.9%1st Place
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4.92Maine Maritime Academy0.418.9%1st Place
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4.31Bates College0.6712.6%1st Place
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8.01University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.421.7%1st Place
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3.52Dartmouth College1.0818.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Charles Morris | 9.0% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 4.0% |
Everett Nash | 27.6% | 21.6% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Sam Harris | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 16.0% | 6.2% |
Luke Kenahan | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 19.6% | 9.0% |
Walter Chiles | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 17.8% | 7.6% |
Henri Richardsson | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 3.8% |
Ted Lutton | 12.6% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 2.1% |
Andy Giaya | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 66.5% |
Ben Sheppard | 18.5% | 18.0% | 17.8% | 15.3% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.