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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+8.64vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+5.26vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.04+6.17vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.71+2.26vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.92+0.54vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.87+3.67vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.90+2.51vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.45-0.77vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.18-0.63vs Predicted
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10Columbia University2.43+1.68vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California2.570.00vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota1.77+2.06vs Predicted
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13Cornell University3.35-5.41vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.22-6.05vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.96-1.87vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.67-9.39vs Predicted
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17University of Washington2.10-4.17vs Predicted
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18Washington College1.81-4.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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7.26St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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9.17University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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6.26Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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5.54University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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9.67Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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9.51Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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7.23Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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8.37Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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11.68Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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11.0University of Southern California2.570.0%1st Place
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14.06University of Minnesota1.770.0%1st Place
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7.59Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.95College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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13.13University of Wisconsin1.960.0%1st Place
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6.61Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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12.83University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
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13.49Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Kayla McComb | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Amy Hawkins | 14.1% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Emilie Mademann | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Irene Jacqz | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 7.2% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.8% |
| Natalie Sinn | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 28.7% |
| Lauren Turner | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Corey Hall | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Bridget Murphy | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 16.3% |
| Emily Lambert | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 13.7% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 19.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.