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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.39+1.99vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.46+2.82vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.67+1.15vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.10+1.18vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.03+0.34vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.41-1.20vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College0.03-1.70vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.08-4.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.99Northeastern University1.3925.4%1st Place
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4.82University of Vermont0.469.1%1st Place
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4.15Bates College0.6714.1%1st Place
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5.18University of New Hampshire0.106.9%1st Place
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5.34Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.037.5%1st Place
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4.8Maine Maritime Academy0.419.4%1st Place
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5.3Middlebury College0.038.2%1st Place
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3.42Dartmouth College1.0819.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Nash | 25.4% | 20.9% | 18.9% | 15.8% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Charles Morris | 9.1% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 13.6% |
| Ted Lutton | 14.1% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 6.5% |
| Sam Harris | 6.9% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 16.7% | 19.1% |
| Luke Kenahan | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 23.4% |
| Henri Richardsson | 9.4% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 16.1% | 16.0% | 14.2% | 12.2% |
| Walter Chiles | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 17.0% | 22.3% |
| Ben Sheppard | 19.2% | 19.2% | 16.2% | 16.8% | 12.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.