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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.39+1.92vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.67+2.21vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.46+1.70vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.08-0.56vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy0.41-0.34vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College0.03-0.45vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.03-1.59vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.10-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92Northeastern University1.3926.6%1st Place
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4.21Bates College0.6712.1%1st Place
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4.7University of Vermont0.469.8%1st Place
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3.44Dartmouth College1.0820.2%1st Place
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4.66Maine Maritime Academy0.4110.5%1st Place
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5.55Middlebury College0.035.7%1st Place
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5.41Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.036.5%1st Place
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5.1University of New Hampshire0.108.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Everett Nash | 26.6% | 22.4% | 18.1% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
Ted Lutton | 12.1% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 7.0% |
Charles Morris | 9.8% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 11.8% |
Ben Sheppard | 20.2% | 18.4% | 15.4% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 2.2% |
Henri Richardsson | 10.5% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 11.0% |
Walter Chiles | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 18.6% | 25.3% |
Luke Kenahan | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 16.6% | 23.2% |
Sam Harris | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.