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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.04+8.33vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.67+4.67vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.18+5.65vs Predicted
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4University of Washington2.10+8.58vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.71+1.37vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.22+2.34vs Predicted
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7Columbia University2.43+4.58vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.92-2.41vs Predicted
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9Washington College2.29+3.09vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-2.63vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-1.41vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California2.57-0.66vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.90-3.55vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.45-6.82vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.96-1.74vs Predicted
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16University of Minnesota1.77-1.97vs Predicted
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17Cornell University3.35-8.99vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.87-8.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.33University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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6.67Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.65Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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12.58University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
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6.37Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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8.34College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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11.58Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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5.59University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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12.09Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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7.37St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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9.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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11.34University of Southern California2.570.0%1st Place
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9.45Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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7.18Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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13.26University of Wisconsin1.960.0%1st Place
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14.03University of Minnesota1.770.0%1st Place
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8.01Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.56Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline Kennedy | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% |
| Emily Lambert | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 15.9% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 10.8% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Corey Hall | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 6.8% |
| Amy Hawkins | 12.3% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mildred Conroy | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.2% |
| Kayla McComb | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% |
| Emilie Mademann | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Bridget Murphy | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 15.3% | 18.7% |
| Natalie Sinn | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 15.4% | 26.6% |
| Lauren Turner | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.