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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.45+6.66vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.92+3.77vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.71+3.54vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+3.09vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.22+3.27vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.67+0.53vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.57+4.02vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.90+1.51vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.18-0.59vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.87+0.09vs Predicted
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11Cornell University3.35-3.10vs Predicted
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12Columbia University2.43-0.09vs Predicted
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13University of Washington2.10-0.33vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-4.77vs Predicted
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15University of Minnesota1.77-1.11vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.96-2.62vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii3.04-7.81vs Predicted
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18Washington College2.29-6.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.66Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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5.77University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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6.54Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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7.09St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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8.27College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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6.53Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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11.02University of Southern California2.570.0%1st Place
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9.51Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
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8.41Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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10.09Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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7.9Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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11.91Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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12.67University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
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9.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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13.89University of Minnesota1.770.0%1st Place
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13.38University of Wisconsin1.960.0%1st Place
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9.19University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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11.95Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Amy Hawkins | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Kayla McComb | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Corey Hall | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 9.1% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 5.0% |
| Emilie Mademann | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 2.7% |
| Lauren Turner | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 10.6% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 15.3% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% |
| Natalie Sinn | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 16.1% | 25.5% |
| Bridget Murphy | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 21.3% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Mildred Conroy | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.