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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.67+3.27vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.39+0.90vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.46+1.79vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.41+0.78vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.03+0.39vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.08-2.54vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College0.03-1.65vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.10-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.27Bates College0.6712.8%1st Place
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2.9Northeastern University1.3927.3%1st Place
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4.79University of Vermont0.468.9%1st Place
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4.78Maine Maritime Academy0.419.3%1st Place
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5.39Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.037.4%1st Place
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3.46Dartmouth College1.0819.2%1st Place
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5.35Middlebury College0.036.8%1st Place
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5.05University of New Hampshire0.108.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Lutton | 12.8% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 7.5% |
| Everett Nash | 27.3% | 21.4% | 19.7% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Charles Morris | 8.9% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 13.0% |
| Henri Richardsson | 9.3% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 12.4% |
| Luke Kenahan | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 24.6% |
| Ben Sheppard | 19.2% | 18.7% | 16.0% | 16.1% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Walter Chiles | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 17.4% | 21.6% |
| Sam Harris | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 16.6% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.