← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island3.02+6.91vs Predicted
-
2Connecticut College3.33+4.64vs Predicted
-
3Washington College1.92+9.39vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College3.83+0.84vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston3.20+1.97vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+4.00vs Predicted
-
7Brown University2.82+1.52vs Predicted
-
8Eckerd College2.91+0.01vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University2.81-0.54vs Predicted
-
10Cornell University2.85-1.39vs Predicted
-
11Old Dominion University2.97-2.99vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-3.97vs Predicted
-
13University of Southern California2.57-3.62vs Predicted
-
14University of Hawaii2.07-2.78vs Predicted
-
15University of Minnesota2.15-3.84vs Predicted
-
16University of Washington1.69-2.94vs Predicted
-
17Columbia University1.30-2.64vs Predicted
-
18University of Wisconsin1.53-4.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.91University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
-
6.64Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
-
12.39Washington College1.920.0%1st Place
-
4.84Dartmouth College3.830.2%1st Place
-
6.97College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
-
10.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
-
8.52Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
-
8.01Eckerd College2.910.1%1st Place
-
8.46Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
-
8.61Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
-
8.01Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
-
8.03St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
-
9.38University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
-
11.22University of Hawaii2.070.0%1st Place
-
11.16University of Minnesota2.150.0%1st Place
-
13.06University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
-
14.36Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
-
13.42University of Wisconsin1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chanel Miller | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 10.2% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 16.5% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Grace Lucas | 8.7% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Lyon | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.3% |
| Sky Adams | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Kaye Siemers | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Andrea Luna | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Mallory Schluter | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.4% |
| Jessie Olson | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 5.7% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 16.4% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 16.2% | 30.5% |
| Molly Sitter | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.