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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.33+5.74vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.20+5.20vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.81+5.73vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+3.58vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.91+3.10vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+4.04vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota2.15+4.20vs Predicted
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8Washington College1.92+3.99vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.82-0.53vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California2.57-0.21vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.97-3.04vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.02-3.94vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.53+0.34vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.85-5.84vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii2.07-3.54vs Predicted
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16University of Washington1.69-2.88vs Predicted
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17Columbia University1.30-2.63vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.83-13.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.74Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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7.2College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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8.73Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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7.58St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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8.1Eckerd College2.910.1%1st Place
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10.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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11.2University of Minnesota2.150.0%1st Place
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11.99Washington College1.920.0%1st Place
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8.47Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.79University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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7.96Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.06University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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13.34University of Wisconsin1.530.0%1st Place
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8.16Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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11.46University of Hawaii2.070.0%1st Place
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13.12University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
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14.37Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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4.69Dartmouth College3.830.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Whipple | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Kaye Siemers | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Brooke Lyon | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.0% |
| Jessie Olson | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 8.6% |
| Sky Adams | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Mallory Schluter | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Andrea Luna | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Chanel Miller | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Molly Sitter | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 15.9% | 20.5% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 6.5% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 17.5% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 16.4% | 30.6% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 16.3% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.