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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.91+7.37vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.81+6.74vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.97+5.09vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.20+2.92vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.83-0.22vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.85+2.36vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.57+2.53vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.33-1.58vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.02-1.37vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-2.08vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota2.15+0.41vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.82-3.20vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-3.15vs Predicted
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14Washington College1.92-2.18vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii2.07-3.50vs Predicted
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16University of Washington1.69-2.92vs Predicted
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17Columbia University1.30-2.62vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.53-4.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.37Eckerd College2.910.1%1st Place
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8.74Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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8.09Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.92College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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4.78Dartmouth College3.830.2%1st Place
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8.36Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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9.53University of Southern California2.570.0%1st Place
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6.42Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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7.63University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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7.92St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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11.41University of Minnesota2.150.0%1st Place
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8.8Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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9.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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11.82Washington College1.920.0%1st Place
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11.5University of Hawaii2.070.0%1st Place
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13.08University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
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14.38Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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13.42University of Wisconsin1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaye Siemers | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Grace Lucas | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 18.2% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Mallory Schluter | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 8.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Jessie Olson | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% |
| Sky Adams | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Brooke Lyon | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 9.3% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.5% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 17.3% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 17.3% | 29.9% |
| Molly Sitter | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.