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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.82+7.65vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.07+9.72vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.02+4.98vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.81+4.40vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.85+3.27vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+1.65vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.20-0.02vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.33-1.57vs Predicted
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9University of Washington1.69+3.89vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin1.53+3.66vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota2.01+0.82vs Predicted
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12Washington College1.92+0.41vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California2.57-3.71vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.83-9.29vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.97-7.16vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.91-7.81vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-6.94vs Predicted
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18Columbia University1.30-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.65Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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11.72University of Hawaii2.070.0%1st Place
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7.98University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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8.4Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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8.27Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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7.65St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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6.98College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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6.43Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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12.89University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
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13.66University of Wisconsin1.530.0%1st Place
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11.82University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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12.41Washington College1.920.0%1st Place
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9.29University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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4.71Dartmouth College3.830.2%1st Place
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7.84Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.19Eckerd College2.910.1%1st Place
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10.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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14.05Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Adams | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 6.7% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Morgan Russom | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Grace Lucas | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 14.1% |
| Molly Sitter | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 15.4% | 21.4% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 11.9% |
| Mallory Schluter | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 16.5% | 16.5% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Kaye Siemers | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Brooke Lyon | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 2.2% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 26.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.