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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.02+6.92vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.33+4.64vs Predicted
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3Washington College1.92+9.29vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.57+5.39vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.07+6.35vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.91+2.12vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.83-2.21vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.20-1.08vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.82-0.57vs Predicted
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10University of Minnesota2.01+1.99vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.97-2.95vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.85-3.28vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-5.48vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.81-5.81vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-5.07vs Predicted
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16Columbia University1.30-1.68vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.53-3.38vs Predicted
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18University of Washington1.69-5.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.92University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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6.64Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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12.29Washington College1.920.0%1st Place
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9.39University of Southern California2.570.0%1st Place
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11.35University of Hawaii2.070.0%1st Place
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8.12Eckerd College2.910.1%1st Place
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4.79Dartmouth College3.830.2%1st Place
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6.92College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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8.43Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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11.99University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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8.05Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.72Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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7.52St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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8.19Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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9.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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14.32Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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13.62University of Wisconsin1.530.0%1st Place
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12.82University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chanel Miller | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 9.5% |
| Mallory Schluter | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 6.7% |
| Kaye Siemers | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 16.0% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Sky Adams | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.1% |
| Andrea Luna | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Morgan Russom | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 16.9% | 28.9% |
| Molly Sitter | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 21.6% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.