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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.57+8.70vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.81+6.70vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.82+5.70vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.91+4.01vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.83-0.19vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+3.95vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.33-0.56vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.02-0.39vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.85-0.73vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.97-1.88vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota2.01+0.88vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin1.53+1.75vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.20-6.09vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii2.07-2.76vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-7.37vs Predicted
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16University of Washington1.69-2.99vs Predicted
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17Washington College1.92-4.80vs Predicted
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18Columbia University1.30-3.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.7University of Southern California2.570.0%1st Place
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8.7Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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8.7Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.01Eckerd College2.910.1%1st Place
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4.81Dartmouth College3.830.2%1st Place
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9.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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6.44Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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7.61University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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8.27Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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8.12Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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11.88University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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13.75University of Wisconsin1.530.0%1st Place
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6.91College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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11.24University of Hawaii2.070.0%1st Place
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7.63St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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13.01University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
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12.2Washington College1.920.0%1st Place
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14.07Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallory Schluter | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Sky Adams | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Kaye Siemers | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 18.2% | 15.9% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Lyon | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 8.8% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Andrea Luna | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 8.2% |
| Molly Sitter | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 15.9% | 23.8% |
| Grace Lucas | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 16.5% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 9.5% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 16.6% | 26.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.