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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.51+4.16vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.29+7.69vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.71+4.99vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.67+3.81vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.18+4.76vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.43-0.81vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.74+0.66vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.92-1.14vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.22+0.65vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii3.04+0.59vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.74-3.13vs Predicted
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12University of Texas1.17+4.13vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.27-3.73vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.90-3.39vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-6.51vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University1.88-1.66vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.45-8.04vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.58-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.16Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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9.69University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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7.99Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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7.81Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.76Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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5.19Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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7.66Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.86University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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9.65College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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10.59University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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7.87U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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16.13University of Texas1.170.0%1st Place
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9.27Stanford University3.270.0%1st Place
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10.61Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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8.49St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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14.34Western Washington University1.880.0%1st Place
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8.96Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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14.96University of Michigan1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Bolger | 12.8% | 15.4% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Abby Featherstone | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Anne Haeger | 14.0% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Amy Hawkins | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Corey Hall | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| Mary Hall | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Ellen Nielsen | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 10.0% | 19.4% | 49.6% |
| Sarah Mace | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Emilie Mademann | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 2.0% |
| Kayla McComb | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Erika Vranizan | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 16.0% | 24.4% | 16.2% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Ellen Dubois | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 14.8% | 25.2% | 25.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.