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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.02+2.22vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.81+1.29vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.60+1.05vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.73-0.27vs Predicted
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5Tulane University0.51+0.74vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.35-1.70vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.70-1.58vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University0.20-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22Tulane University2.0221.9%1st Place
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3.29College of Charleston1.8121.4%1st Place
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4.05University of South Florida1.6013.7%1st Place
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3.73Tulane University1.7316.8%1st Place
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5.74Tulane University0.514.4%1st Place
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4.3Tulane University1.3512.2%1st Place
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5.42Jacksonville University0.705.9%1st Place
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6.25Texas A&M University0.203.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
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Samantha Gardner | 21.9% | 20.9% | 17.1% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
Emma Tallman | 21.4% | 19.1% | 17.7% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
Kay Brunsvold | 13.7% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 4.4% |
Caroline Benson | 16.8% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 17.2% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 6.8% | 2.9% |
Mira Herlihy | 4.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 15.4% | 20.6% | 26.5% |
Oakley Cunningham | 12.2% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 5.5% |
Fiona Froelich | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 16.7% | 20.8% | 18.6% |
Hanna Progelhof | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 21.0% | 38.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.