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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.43+4.40vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.22+7.97vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.74+4.89vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.74+3.54vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+3.45vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.67+1.95vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.71+0.77vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.90+2.79vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.29+0.38vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.45-0.98vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University4.51-5.92vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.92-4.76vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii3.04-2.79vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.27-4.82vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.18-5.22vs Predicted
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16University of Texas1.170.00vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan1.58-1.82vs Predicted
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18Western Washington University1.88-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.4Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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9.97College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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7.89U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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7.54Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.45St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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7.95Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.77Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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10.79Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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9.38University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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9.02Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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5.08Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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7.24University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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10.21University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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9.18Stanford University3.270.0%1st Place
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9.78Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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16.0University of Texas1.170.0%1st Place
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15.18University of Michigan1.580.0%1st Place
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14.17Western Washington University1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anne Haeger | 12.1% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Corey Hall | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Mary Hall | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Kayla McComb | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Emilie Mademann | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 6.4% | 1.1% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Sydney Bolger | 15.7% | 14.7% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Sarah Mace | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Ellen Nielsen | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 10.5% | 19.5% | 47.8% |
| Ellen Dubois | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 25.4% | 29.2% |
| Erika Vranizan | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 16.6% | 23.8% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.