Race 1A

sugar-bowl-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Zander King 13.2% 12.4% 14.2% 13.3% 13.8% 14.2% 11.1% 6.0% 1.8%
Ricky Miller 4.8% 4.2% 6.2% 6.8% 8.3% 10.2% 15.7% 28.5% 15.2%
Thad Lettsome 13.2% 13.7% 14.1% 13.5% 14.0% 12.5% 11.2% 6.8% 1.1%
Kelly Holthus 16.9% 16.0% 16.5% 14.6% 13.0% 10.2% 8.6% 3.5% 0.8%
Owen Bannasch 14.3% 14.6% 13.2% 14.3% 13.9% 11.3% 10.4% 5.9% 1.9%
Noah Zittrer 21.4% 20.3% 16.3% 14.6% 10.1% 9.4% 5.5% 1.9% 0.4%
Ethan Froelich 9.7% 11.2% 11.3% 12.0% 14.3% 14.3% 13.2% 10.5% 3.3%
Charlie Herrick 5.1% 6.2% 6.6% 8.6% 9.8% 13.6% 18.2% 21.8% 10.2%
Jacob Granberry 1.3% 1.4% 1.5% 2.5% 2.9% 4.0% 6.2% 14.9% 65.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.