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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.81+2.33vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.02+1.12vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.60+0.99vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.35+0.33vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.73-1.27vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.70-0.51vs Predicted
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7Tulane University0.51-1.21vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University0.20-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.33College of Charleston1.8118.9%1st Place
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3.12Tulane University2.0223.4%1st Place
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3.99University of South Florida1.6014.6%1st Place
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4.33Tulane University1.3512.2%1st Place
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3.73Tulane University1.7316.2%1st Place
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5.49Jacksonville University0.705.7%1st Place
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5.79Tulane University0.514.8%1st Place
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6.23Texas A&M University0.204.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 18.9% | 20.0% | 17.8% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Samantha Gardner | 23.4% | 20.0% | 18.8% | 15.6% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 14.6% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 3.8% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 12.2% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 6.9% |
| Caroline Benson | 16.2% | 17.5% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 6.8% | 2.9% |
| Fiona Froelich | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 18.0% | 20.8% | 19.4% |
| Mira Herlihy | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 16.6% | 21.1% | 25.8% |
| Hanna Progelhof | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 20.6% | 39.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.