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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+6.86vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.92+5.10vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.51+2.04vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii3.04+6.25vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.22+4.59vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.90+4.96vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+1.53vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.43-2.93vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.74-1.39vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.18+0.09vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.67-2.97vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.71-3.90vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.29-3.75vs Predicted
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14University of Texas1.17+1.80vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.45-6.29vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University1.88-1.65vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.27-7.34vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.58-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.86U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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7.1University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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5.04Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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10.25University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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9.59College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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10.96Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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8.53St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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5.07Boston College4.430.2%1st Place
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7.61Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.09Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.03Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.1Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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9.25University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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15.8University of Texas1.170.0%1st Place
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8.71Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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14.35Western Washington University1.880.0%1st Place
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9.66Stanford University3.270.0%1st Place
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14.99University of Michigan1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Amy Hawkins | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sydney Bolger | 14.1% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Corey Hall | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Emilie Mademann | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 2.5% |
| Kayla McComb | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Anne Haeger | 15.2% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Ellen Nielsen | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 10.0% | 20.3% | 44.0% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Erika Vranizan | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 15.5% | 21.9% | 18.4% |
| Sarah Mace | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Ellen Dubois | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 23.1% | 27.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.