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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.49+2.34vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.10+2.19vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.06+1.25vs Predicted
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4Rice University0.91+2.40vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.28-1.23vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.04-1.69vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.14-1.03vs Predicted
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8University of Texas1.65-3.28vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.20-0.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34College of Charleston2.4921.7%1st Place
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4.19Jacksonville University2.1013.4%1st Place
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4.25Tulane University2.0612.8%1st Place
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6.4Rice University0.914.2%1st Place
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3.77Tulane University2.2816.9%1st Place
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4.31Tulane University2.0412.8%1st Place
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5.97University of Wisconsin1.145.9%1st Place
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4.72University of Texas1.6510.8%1st Place
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8.05Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.201.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Noah Zittrer | 21.7% | 18.1% | 17.3% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
Owen Bannasch | 13.4% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 1.5% |
Zander King | 12.8% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 1.5% |
Ricky Miller | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 27.8% | 16.6% |
Kelly Holthus | 16.9% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 15.6% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
Thad Lettsome | 12.8% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 1.7% |
Charlie Herrick | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 19.4% | 22.7% | 9.8% |
Ethan Froelich | 10.8% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 9.3% | 3.1% |
Jacob Granberry | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 15.3% | 65.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.