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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.74+6.87vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.51+3.04vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.43+2.29vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.71+3.66vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.27+4.44vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+2.57vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.74+0.72vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.92-1.09vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.22+0.69vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.67-1.80vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.29-1.42vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan1.58+3.30vs Predicted
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13University of Texas1.17+2.79vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.45-5.52vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.90-4.11vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.18-6.09vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University1.88-2.60vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii3.04-7.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.87Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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5.04Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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5.29Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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7.66Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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9.44Stanford University3.270.0%1st Place
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8.57St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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7.72U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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6.91University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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9.69College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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8.2Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.58University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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15.3University of Michigan1.580.0%1st Place
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15.79University of Texas1.170.0%1st Place
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8.48Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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10.89Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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9.91Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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14.4Western Washington University1.880.0%1st Place
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10.28University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlena Fauer | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Sydney Bolger | 12.5% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anne Haeger | 13.0% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Mace | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Kayla McComb | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Mary Hall | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Amy Hawkins | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Corey Hall | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Ellen Dubois | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 24.7% | 30.5% |
| Ellen Nielsen | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 12.9% | 20.1% | 43.0% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Emilie Mademann | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Erika Vranizan | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 15.9% | 24.4% | 17.7% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.