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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.51+4.05vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.71+5.90vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.90+8.00vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.67+3.68vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.43+0.12vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.45+2.73vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.74+0.54vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.18+1.64vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.29+0.30vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.27-0.43vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.92-4.00vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.74-4.16vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-4.75vs Predicted
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14University of Texas1.17+1.64vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.22-5.51vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii3.04-5.68vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan1.58-2.00vs Predicted
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18Western Washington University1.02-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.05Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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7.9Connecticut College3.710.0%1st Place
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11.0Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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7.68Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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5.12Boston College4.430.2%1st Place
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8.73Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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7.54U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.64Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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9.3University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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9.57Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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7.0University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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7.84Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.25St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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15.64University of Texas1.170.0%1st Place
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9.49College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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10.32University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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15.0University of Michigan1.580.0%1st Place
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15.92Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Bolger | 14.6% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emilie Mademann | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Anne Haeger | 16.6% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Mary Hall | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Abby Featherstone | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Amy Hawkins | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Marlena Fauer | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Kayla McComb | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Ellen Nielsen | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 14.1% | 25.1% | 33.2% |
| Corey Hall | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Ellen Dubois | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 17.8% | 25.6% | 22.6% |
| Debbi Kenote | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 12.8% | 25.6% | 40.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.