Race 3A

sugar-bowl-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Noah Zittrer 23.1% 18.9% 16.4% 12.7% 13.1% 8.3% 5.5% 1.7% 0.4%
Kelly Holthus 17.6% 17.9% 15.0% 14.2% 12.7% 10.3% 7.5% 3.9% 0.8%
Zander King 13.4% 14.0% 14.0% 14.9% 13.7% 13.2% 9.5% 6.0% 1.4%
Thad Lettsome 13.3% 13.7% 13.9% 13.0% 13.0% 13.8% 10.9% 7.4% 1.1%
Owen Bannasch 13.5% 13.2% 14.1% 14.3% 14.8% 12.6% 11.3% 5.2% 1.0%
Charlie Herrick 4.5% 6.2% 6.6% 9.2% 9.0% 13.2% 17.2% 22.7% 11.6%
Ricky Miller 3.8% 4.5% 6.4% 6.1% 7.8% 10.6% 16.2% 28.5% 16.2%
Ethan Froelich 9.4% 10.5% 12.0% 12.8% 12.8% 14.1% 15.1% 10.2% 3.0%
Jacob Granberry 1.5% 1.3% 1.6% 2.8% 3.2% 3.9% 6.8% 14.4% 64.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.