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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.51+4.16vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.29+7.66vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.92+4.15vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.67+3.75vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.90+5.82vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.71+1.80vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.74+0.65vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.45+0.73vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.74-1.41vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-1.17vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.22-1.18vs Predicted
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12Boston College4.43-6.57vs Predicted
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13University of Texas1.17+2.80vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii3.04-3.88vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.18-5.23vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.27-6.46vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University1.88-2.55vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.58-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.16Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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9.66University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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7.15University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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7.75Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.82Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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7.8Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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7.65U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.73Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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7.59Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.83St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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9.82College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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5.43Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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15.8University of Texas1.170.0%1st Place
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10.12University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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9.77Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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9.54Stanford University3.270.0%1st Place
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14.45Western Washington University1.880.0%1st Place
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14.93University of Michigan1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Bolger | 13.3% | 15.0% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abby Featherstone | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Amy Hawkins | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Emilie Mademann | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 2.9% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Mary Hall | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Marlena Fauer | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kayla McComb | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Corey Hall | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Anne Haeger | 14.1% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Nielsen | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 10.5% | 20.4% | 44.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Erika Vranizan | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 23.4% | 20.5% |
| Ellen Dubois | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 9.3% | 15.4% | 23.9% | 25.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.