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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.02+2.12vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.60+2.05vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.73+0.69vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.35+0.25vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.81-1.68vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.70-0.54vs Predicted
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7Tulane University0.51-1.19vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University0.20-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12Tulane University2.0222.7%1st Place
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4.05University of South Florida1.6013.4%1st Place
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3.69Tulane University1.7316.5%1st Place
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4.25Tulane University1.3512.0%1st Place
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3.32College of Charleston1.8120.8%1st Place
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5.46Jacksonville University0.706.0%1st Place
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5.81Tulane University0.514.7%1st Place
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6.29Texas A&M University0.203.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Samantha Gardner | 22.7% | 21.6% | 17.7% | 15.2% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
Kay Brunsvold | 13.4% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 4.2% |
Caroline Benson | 16.5% | 17.2% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 2.9% |
Oakley Cunningham | 12.0% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 10.7% | 5.5% |
Emma Tallman | 20.8% | 18.3% | 18.2% | 15.9% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
Fiona Froelich | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 18.3% | 20.8% | 18.8% |
Mira Herlihy | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 23.1% | 24.9% |
Hanna Progelhof | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 19.4% | 41.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.