Race 5A

sugar-bowl-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Kelly Holthus 17.1% 16.9% 15.8% 15.9% 12.0% 10.9% 7.2% 3.1% 1.0%
Thad Lettsome 13.0% 13.0% 12.8% 13.0% 15.2% 13.1% 11.5% 7.4% 1.2%
Zander King 13.5% 12.6% 14.3% 13.5% 14.1% 12.3% 11.7% 6.7% 1.5%
Charlie Herrick 5.8% 6.0% 6.8% 9.4% 8.7% 13.2% 16.6% 21.9% 11.6%
Noah Zittrer 20.8% 18.9% 17.3% 13.9% 11.4% 9.8% 5.2% 2.2% 0.4%
Ethan Froelich 8.8% 11.0% 13.3% 12.3% 13.7% 14.0% 14.0% 10.2% 2.6%
Owen Bannasch 15.0% 14.3% 11.3% 14.3% 14.2% 12.3% 11.2% 5.8% 1.5%
Ricky Miller 4.8% 5.7% 6.5% 5.9% 7.7% 10.6% 15.2% 27.8% 16.0%
Jacob Granberry 1.1% 1.6% 1.9% 1.9% 3.0% 3.6% 7.5% 15.0% 64.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.