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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.92+6.21vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.43+3.34vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.51+2.06vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.67+3.80vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.74+2.68vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.74+1.70vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.22+2.67vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.27+1.37vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.45-0.27vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii3.04+0.62vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.71-3.07vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.90-0.75vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.29-3.73vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.18-4.43vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-6.49vs Predicted
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16University of Texas1.17-0.03vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University1.88-2.58vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.58-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.21University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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5.34Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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5.06Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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7.8Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.68U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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7.7Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.67College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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9.37Stanford University3.270.0%1st Place
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8.73Brown University3.450.0%1st Place
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10.62University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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7.93Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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11.25Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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9.27University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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9.57Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.51St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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15.97University of Texas1.170.0%1st Place
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14.42Western Washington University1.880.0%1st Place
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14.9University of Michigan1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Hawkins | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Anne Haeger | 11.3% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Bolger | 14.1% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Mary Hall | 6.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Marlena Fauer | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Corey Hall | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Sarah Mace | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 1.6% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Emilie Mademann | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 2.4% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Kayla McComb | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Ellen Nielsen | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 11.1% | 18.4% | 47.9% |
| Erika Vranizan | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 22.8% | 20.0% |
| Ellen Dubois | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 15.4% | 27.1% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.