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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.51+4.13vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+6.75vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.74+4.83vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.22+5.52vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.92+1.96vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.18+3.85vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii3.04+3.40vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.29+1.36vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.90+1.89vs Predicted
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10Boston College4.43-4.63vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.74-3.20vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.27-2.27vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.71-5.42vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan1.58+0.89vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.45-6.26vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.67-8.05vs Predicted
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17University of Texas1.17-0.95vs Predicted
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18Western Washington University1.88-3.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.13Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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8.75St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.0%1st Place
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7.83Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.52College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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6.96University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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9.85Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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10.4University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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9.36University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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10.89Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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5.37Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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7.8U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.73Stanford University3.270.0%1st Place
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7.58Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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14.89University of Michigan1.580.0%1st Place
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8.74Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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7.95Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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16.05University of Texas1.170.0%1st Place
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14.2Western Washington University1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Bolger | 14.8% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla McComb | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Marlena Fauer | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Corey Hall | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Amy Hawkins | 9.3% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Emilie Mademann | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Anne Haeger | 13.1% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Hall | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Mace | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ellen Dubois | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 24.3% | 26.1% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Ellen Nielsen | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 9.0% | 21.2% | 48.3% |
| Erika Vranizan | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 16.7% | 22.9% | 16.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.