← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tulane University2.02+2.21vs Predicted
-
2Tulane University1.73+1.73vs Predicted
-
3Tulane University1.35+1.29vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida1.60+0.04vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston1.81-1.70vs Predicted
-
6Jacksonville University0.70-0.56vs Predicted
-
7Tulane University0.51-1.22vs Predicted
-
8Texas A&M University0.20-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.21Tulane University2.0222.2%1st Place
-
3.73Tulane University1.7316.6%1st Place
-
4.29Tulane University1.3511.2%1st Place
-
4.04University of South Florida1.6013.1%1st Place
-
3.3College of Charleston1.8120.5%1st Place
-
5.44Jacksonville University0.706.2%1st Place
-
5.78Tulane University0.516.0%1st Place
-
6.21Texas A&M University0.204.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Gardner | 22.2% | 19.4% | 18.6% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Caroline Benson | 16.6% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 17.3% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 7.2% | 2.2% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 11.2% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 5.9% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 13.1% | 14.5% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 8.9% | 4.4% |
| Emma Tallman | 20.5% | 20.1% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Fiona Froelich | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 16.2% | 20.9% | 19.4% |
| Mira Herlihy | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 23.8% | 26.1% |
| Hanna Progelhof | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 18.8% | 39.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.