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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.28+2.69vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.06+2.23vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.04+1.23vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.49-0.66vs Predicted
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5University of Texas1.65-0.08vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.10-1.86vs Predicted
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7Rice University0.91-0.55vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.20+0.09vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.14-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69Tulane University2.2817.3%1st Place
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4.23Tulane University2.0613.6%1st Place
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4.23Tulane University2.0414.3%1st Place
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3.34College of Charleston2.4921.9%1st Place
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4.92University of Texas1.659.6%1st Place
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4.14Jacksonville University2.1012.0%1st Place
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6.45Rice University0.914.5%1st Place
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8.09Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.201.1%1st Place
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5.92University of Wisconsin1.145.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kelly Holthus | 17.3% | 17.8% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
Zander King | 13.6% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 1.8% |
Thad Lettsome | 14.3% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 6.2% | 1.5% |
Noah Zittrer | 21.9% | 19.3% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
Ethan Froelich | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 3.9% |
Owen Bannasch | 12.0% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 1.0% |
Ricky Miller | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 17.8% | 28.5% | 15.0% |
Jacob Granberry | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 15.0% | 65.4% |
Charlie Herrick | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 17.9% | 21.6% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.