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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.23+6.89vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.91+7.26vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.28+4.76vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.48+2.67vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.81+4.29vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.80+3.48vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+1.56vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.29-0.60vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.02-0.45vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.82-0.35vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.83-5.36vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.20-3.78vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University1.62+0.61vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.33-6.91vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.88-5.96vs Predicted
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16University of Texas0.77-0.07vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii2.07-4.54vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.32-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.89Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.26Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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7.76Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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6.67Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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9.29Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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9.48University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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8.56St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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7.4Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.55University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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9.65Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.64Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.22College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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13.61Western Washington University1.620.0%1st Place
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7.09Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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9.04U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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15.93University of Texas0.770.0%1st Place
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12.46University of Hawaii2.070.0%1st Place
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14.5University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McKinney | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Kaye Siemers | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Briana Provancha | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Emily Billing | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Sky Adams | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 13.4% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Vincent | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 20.8% | 13.7% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Masie Comen | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 10.1% | 16.0% | 50.7% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 8.1% |
| Rachel Barch | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 14.1% | 25.1% | 20.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.