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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.81+8.56vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.33+5.55vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.83+2.72vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.80+5.30vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.20+2.83vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.29+1.56vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.48-0.25vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.02+0.50vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan1.32+5.63vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.23-2.01vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.28-3.28vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-3.07vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.88-4.02vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.82-4.92vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii2.07-2.80vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.91-6.89vs Predicted
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17University of Texas0.77-1.03vs Predicted
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18Western Washington University1.62-4.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.56Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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7.55Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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5.72Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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9.3University of South Florida2.800.1%1st Place
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7.83College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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7.56Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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6.75Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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8.5University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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14.63University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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7.99Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.72Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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8.93St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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8.98U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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9.08Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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12.2University of Hawaii2.070.0%1st Place
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9.11Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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15.97University of Texas0.770.0%1st Place
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13.61Western Washington University1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Russom | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 10.5% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Emily Billing | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Briana Provancha | 8.8% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Rachel Barch | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 13.1% | 24.7% | 22.9% |
| Molly McKinney | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Nancy Hagood | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Sky Adams | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 5.7% |
| Kaye Siemers | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Masie Comen | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 8.6% | 19.6% | 49.2% |
| Ashley Vincent | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 14.9% | 18.7% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.