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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.28+2.81vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.06+2.28vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.10+1.07vs Predicted
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4Rice University0.91+2.37vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.04-0.66vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.14-0.06vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.49-3.59vs Predicted
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8University of Texas1.65-3.19vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.20-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81Tulane University2.2817.4%1st Place
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4.28Tulane University2.0613.7%1st Place
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4.07Jacksonville University2.1015.3%1st Place
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6.37Rice University0.914.2%1st Place
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4.34Tulane University2.0412.0%1st Place
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5.94University of Wisconsin1.145.5%1st Place
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3.41College of Charleston2.4919.9%1st Place
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4.81University of Texas1.6510.3%1st Place
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7.97Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.201.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kelly Holthus | 17.4% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
Zander King | 13.7% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
Owen Bannasch | 15.3% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
Ricky Miller | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 15.6% | 26.8% | 16.1% |
Thad Lettsome | 12.0% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 2.4% |
Charlie Herrick | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 17.3% | 22.2% | 10.8% |
Noah Zittrer | 19.9% | 19.8% | 17.2% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
Ethan Froelich | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 3.1% |
Jacob Granberry | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 7.5% | 14.5% | 63.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.