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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.28+6.81vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.48+4.89vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.23+4.89vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.33+3.27vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.29+2.43vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.02+2.59vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.81+2.39vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.83-2.59vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.82+0.32vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.80-0.28vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.91-1.88vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.20-3.80vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.88-4.05vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii2.07-2.02vs Predicted
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15University of Texas0.77+0.92vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University1.62-2.14vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-8.30vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.32-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.81Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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6.89Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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7.89Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.27Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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7.43Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.59University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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9.39Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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5.41Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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9.32Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.72University of South Florida2.800.1%1st Place
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9.12Eckerd College2.910.1%1st Place
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8.2College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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8.95U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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11.98University of Hawaii2.070.0%1st Place
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15.92University of Texas0.770.0%1st Place
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13.86Western Washington University1.620.0%1st Place
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8.7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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14.53University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nancy Hagood | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Briana Provancha | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Molly McKinney | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Emily Billing | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 12.6% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sky Adams | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 5.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Kaye Siemers | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 6.4% |
| Masie Comen | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 9.3% | 20.8% | 46.9% |
| Ashley Vincent | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 14.7% | 20.1% | 16.1% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Rachel Barch | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 14.3% | 20.8% | 24.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.