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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.02+2.06vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.60+2.14vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.35+1.34vs Predicted
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4Tulane University0.51+1.71vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.73-1.25vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.81-2.66vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.70-1.58vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University0.20-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06Tulane University2.0225.4%1st Place
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4.14University of South Florida1.6012.4%1st Place
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4.34Tulane University1.3512.3%1st Place
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5.71Tulane University0.515.3%1st Place
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3.75Tulane University1.7315.6%1st Place
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3.34College of Charleston1.8119.2%1st Place
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5.42Jacksonville University0.705.8%1st Place
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6.25Texas A&M University0.204.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Gardner | 25.4% | 19.5% | 18.1% | 14.5% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 12.4% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 15.9% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 5.4% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 12.3% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 5.7% |
| Mira Herlihy | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 20.9% | 25.7% |
| Caroline Benson | 15.6% | 16.3% | 16.4% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 2.6% |
| Emma Tallman | 19.2% | 20.4% | 17.0% | 16.0% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Fiona Froelich | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 15.8% | 20.3% | 19.5% |
| Hanna Progelhof | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 21.8% | 38.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.