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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.48+6.16vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.32+12.98vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.10+1.97vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.28+3.66vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.20+3.01vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.82+3.57vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+1.72vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.81+1.51vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.23-1.17vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.02-0.99vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.83-5.16vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.33-4.20vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.91-3.92vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.80-4.70vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.88-5.69vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University1.62-2.07vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii2.07-4.49vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.77-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.16Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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14.98University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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4.97Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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7.66Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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8.01College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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9.57Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.72St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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9.51Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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7.83Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.01University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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5.84Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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7.8Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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9.08Eckerd College2.910.1%1st Place
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9.3University of South Florida2.800.1%1st Place
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9.31U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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13.93Western Washington University1.620.0%1st Place
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12.51University of Hawaii2.070.0%1st Place
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15.81University of Texas0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Briana Provancha | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Barch | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 23.3% | 26.3% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.3% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nancy Hagood | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Sky Adams | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Molly McKinney | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 12.1% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Kaye Siemers | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Ashley Vincent | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 15.1% | 19.9% | 15.6% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 16.6% | 11.8% | 6.5% |
| Masie Comen | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 21.1% | 45.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.