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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.02+2.05vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.81+1.34vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.73+0.67vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.60+0.06vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.35-0.62vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.70-0.54vs Predicted
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7Tulane University0.51-1.16vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University0.20-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05Tulane University2.0224.1%1st Place
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3.34College of Charleston1.8120.1%1st Place
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3.67Tulane University1.7316.7%1st Place
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4.06University of South Florida1.6013.7%1st Place
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4.38Tulane University1.3510.9%1st Place
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5.46Jacksonville University0.705.8%1st Place
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5.84Tulane University0.514.5%1st Place
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6.21Texas A&M University0.204.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Gardner | 24.1% | 22.9% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 20.1% | 18.4% | 18.6% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Caroline Benson | 16.7% | 15.3% | 17.5% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 2.4% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 13.7% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 4.8% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 10.9% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 12.4% | 5.8% |
| Fiona Froelich | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 17.2% | 20.7% | 19.8% |
| Mira Herlihy | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 14.6% | 23.1% | 26.7% |
| Hanna Progelhof | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 20.3% | 38.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.