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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.20+7.09vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.02+6.84vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.10+1.87vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.88+5.10vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.82+4.30vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.23+1.83vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.28+0.62vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan1.32+6.53vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.33-1.65vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University1.62+3.90vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.81-1.45vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.91-2.55vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.48-6.28vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.80-4.81vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii2.07-2.77vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.23-8.09vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-8.26vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.77-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.09College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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8.84University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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4.87Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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9.1U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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9.3Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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7.83Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.62Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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14.53University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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7.35Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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13.9Western Washington University1.620.0%1st Place
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9.55Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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9.45Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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6.72Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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9.19University of South Florida2.800.1%1st Place
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12.23University of Hawaii2.070.0%1st Place
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7.91Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.74St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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15.79University of Texas0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Lucas | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Morgan Kiss | 15.5% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Sky Adams | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Nancy Hagood | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Rachel Barch | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 14.1% | 21.0% | 24.7% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ashley Vincent | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 16.0% | 20.0% | 15.9% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Kaye Siemers | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Briana Provancha | 10.0% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 6.5% |
| Molly McKinney | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 6.1% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Masie Comen | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 10.2% | 20.0% | 45.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.