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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.28+6.78vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.02+6.84vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.10+1.81vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.07+8.14vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.33+2.42vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.82+3.45vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.20+0.93vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+0.56vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.88+0.13vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.23-1.98vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.48-4.06vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.23-3.85vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.81-3.73vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.80-4.83vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.91-5.98vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.32-1.29vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University1.62-3.12vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.77-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.78Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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8.84University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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4.81Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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12.14University of Hawaii2.070.0%1st Place
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7.42Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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9.45Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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7.93College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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8.56St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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9.13U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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8.02Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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6.94Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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8.15Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.27Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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9.17University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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9.02Eckerd College2.910.1%1st Place
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14.71University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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13.88Western Washington University1.620.0%1st Place
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15.77University of Texas0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nancy Hagood | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.8% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Morgan Kiss | 15.7% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 12.0% | 6.2% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Sky Adams | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Molly McKinney | 8.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Briana Provancha | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Kaye Siemers | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Rachel Barch | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 23.8% | 24.1% |
| Ashley Vincent | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 14.6% | 20.4% | 16.2% |
| Masie Comen | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 10.2% | 19.0% | 46.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.