← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.49+2.31vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University2.10+2.11vs Predicted
-
3Tulane University2.04+1.32vs Predicted
-
4Rice University0.91+2.45vs Predicted
-
5Tulane University2.06-0.76vs Predicted
-
6Tulane University2.28-2.28vs Predicted
-
7University of Texas1.65-2.14vs Predicted
-
8University of Wisconsin1.14-2.03vs Predicted
-
9Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.20-0.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.31College of Charleston2.4921.4%1st Place
-
4.11Jacksonville University2.1014.5%1st Place
-
4.32Tulane University2.0413.9%1st Place
-
6.45Rice University0.914.1%1st Place
-
4.24Tulane University2.0612.6%1st Place
-
3.72Tulane University2.2815.8%1st Place
-
4.86University of Texas1.6510.5%1st Place
-
5.97University of Wisconsin1.145.4%1st Place
-
8.02Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.201.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Noah Zittrer | 21.4% | 18.6% | 19.4% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
Owen Bannasch | 14.5% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 5.3% | 1.1% |
Thad Lettsome | 13.9% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 1.5% |
Ricky Miller | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 16.2% | 28.0% | 16.1% |
Zander King | 12.6% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 1.6% |
Kelly Holthus | 15.8% | 18.1% | 17.0% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
Ethan Froelich | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 10.5% | 3.2% |
Charlie Herrick | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 18.1% | 20.9% | 11.4% |
Jacob Granberry | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 14.4% | 64.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.