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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.48+3.65vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.86+5.24vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.97+4.36vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.42+5.28vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.42+3.70vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.06+0.59vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.09-0.93vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.90-1.03vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.97+1.65vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33+3.10vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.43-1.98vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University0.42-0.02vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-1.26vs Predicted
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14Olin College of Engineering0.46-1.33vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.54-2.30vs Predicted
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16Brown University1.01-5.13vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.59-7.18vs Predicted
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18Tufts University0.80-6.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.65Harvard University2.4816.2%1st Place
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7.24Brown University1.868.2%1st Place
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7.36Boston College1.977.6%1st Place
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9.28University of Rhode Island1.424.3%1st Place
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8.7Brown University1.425.9%1st Place
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6.59Bowdoin College2.069.8%1st Place
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6.07Roger Williams University2.0911.6%1st Place
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6.97Yale University1.908.0%1st Place
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10.65Boston University0.973.1%1st Place
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13.1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.332.1%1st Place
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9.02Tufts University1.434.9%1st Place
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11.98Fairfield University0.422.9%1st Place
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11.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.082.8%1st Place
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12.67Olin College of Engineering0.460.9%1st Place
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12.7Tufts University0.542.2%1st Place
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10.87Brown University1.012.8%1st Place
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9.82Northeastern University1.594.0%1st Place
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11.61Tufts University0.802.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 16.2% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Peter Joslin | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Henry Lee | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Connor Macken | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Sam Bonauto | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Stokke | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Sih | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 19.4% |
| Jack Flores | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Nolan Cooper | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.1% |
| Peter McGonagle | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.7% |
| Peter Schnell | 0.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 16.7% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 15.6% |
| Sidney Moyer | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 5.3% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Blake Vogel | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.