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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+3.93vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.48+5.13vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.81+6.86vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.02+4.66vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.88+4.22vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.82+3.59vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+1.70vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.91+1.16vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.28-1.36vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.33-2.28vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan2.08+1.54vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.20-3.63vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.23-5.26vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.80-4.69vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.23-7.16vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii2.07-3.48vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University1.62-2.88vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.77-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.93Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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7.13Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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9.86Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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8.66University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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9.22U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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9.59Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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9.16Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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7.64Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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7.72Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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12.54University of Michigan2.080.0%1st Place
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8.37College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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7.74Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.31University of South Florida2.800.1%1st Place
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7.84Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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12.52University of Hawaii2.070.0%1st Place
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14.12Western Washington University1.620.0%1st Place
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15.94University of Texas0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 15.7% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Briana Provancha | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Russom | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Sky Adams | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Kaye Siemers | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Amanda Baker | 3.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 8.4% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Molly McKinney | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 8.6% |
| Ashley Vincent | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 22.6% | 19.7% |
| Masie Comen | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 16.5% | 53.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.