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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.33+6.77vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+2.86vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.48+4.16vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.91+5.10vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.02+3.69vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.20+2.09vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.23+0.90vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.82+1.45vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.23-1.14vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan2.08+2.64vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.88-1.54vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.80-2.03vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University1.62+0.79vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.81-4.69vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.28-7.37vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-7.20vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii2.07-4.39vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.77-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.77Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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4.86Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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7.16Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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9.1Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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8.69University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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8.09College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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7.9Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.45Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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7.86Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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12.64University of Michigan2.080.0%1st Place
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9.46U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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9.97University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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13.79Western Washington University1.620.0%1st Place
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9.31Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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7.63Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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8.8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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12.61University of Hawaii2.070.0%1st Place
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15.94University of Texas0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Whipple | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.5% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Briana Provancha | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kaye Siemers | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Sky Adams | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Molly McKinney | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Amanda Baker | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 9.5% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Ashley Vincent | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 20.9% | 18.0% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.2% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Nancy Hagood | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 8.9% |
| Masie Comen | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 8.3% | 17.6% | 52.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.