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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.23+7.09vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.02+7.01vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.33+4.68vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.81+5.47vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.20+3.02vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.88+3.37vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.91+2.16vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.07+4.34vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.10-4.33vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.80-0.13vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.23-2.97vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.48-4.72vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-4.43vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.82-4.74vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.28-7.34vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University1.62-1.93vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan2.08-4.46vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.77-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.09Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.01University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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7.68Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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9.47Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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8.02College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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9.37U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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9.16Eckerd College2.910.1%1st Place
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12.34University of Hawaii2.070.0%1st Place
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4.67Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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9.87University of South Florida2.800.1%1st Place
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8.03Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.28Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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8.57St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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9.26Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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7.66Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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14.07Western Washington University1.620.0%1st Place
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12.54University of Michigan2.080.0%1st Place
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15.91University of Texas0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Kaye Siemers | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 8.3% |
| Morgan Kiss | 16.1% | 16.5% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 0.8% |
| Molly McKinney | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Briana Provancha | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Sky Adams | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Nancy Hagood | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Ashley Vincent | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 20.0% | 20.8% |
| Amanda Baker | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 8.5% |
| Masie Comen | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 17.2% | 52.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.