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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.02+7.91vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+2.90vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.07+9.68vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.82+5.48vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.91+4.11vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.28+1.79vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.20+1.06vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.81+1.54vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.33-1.48vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan2.08+2.65vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University1.62+3.02vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.88-2.36vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-4.41vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.23-6.35vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.80-5.41vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.23-8.01vs Predicted
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17University of Texas0.77-0.91vs Predicted
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18Boston College3.48-11.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.91University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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4.9Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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12.68University of Hawaii2.070.0%1st Place
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9.48Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.11Eckerd College2.910.1%1st Place
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7.79Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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8.06College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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9.54Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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7.52Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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12.65University of Michigan2.080.0%1st Place
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14.02Western Washington University1.620.0%1st Place
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9.64U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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8.59St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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7.65Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.59University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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7.99Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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16.09University of Texas0.770.0%1st Place
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6.79Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chanel Miller | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.9% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 7.9% |
| Sky Adams | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Kaye Siemers | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Nancy Hagood | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Amanda Baker | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 7.9% |
| Ashley Vincent | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 21.7% | 19.6% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Molly McKinney | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Masie Comen | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 7.3% | 14.9% | 56.1% |
| Briana Provancha | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.