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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.43+7.74vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.48+2.90vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.06+3.56vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.97+3.44vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.86+2.21vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.09-0.02vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.80+4.48vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33+5.10vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.42-0.14vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.97+0.86vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.42-1.58vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.59-2.04vs Predicted
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13Fairfield University0.42-1.03vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.54-1.60vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-3.33vs Predicted
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16Yale University1.90-8.96vs Predicted
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17Brown University1.01-6.34vs Predicted
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18Olin College of Engineering0.46-5.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.74Tufts University1.435.5%1st Place
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4.9Harvard University2.4815.4%1st Place
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6.56Bowdoin College2.0610.5%1st Place
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7.44Boston College1.976.5%1st Place
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7.21Brown University1.868.8%1st Place
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5.98Roger Williams University2.0911.2%1st Place
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11.48Tufts University0.802.1%1st Place
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13.1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.332.4%1st Place
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8.86Brown University1.424.9%1st Place
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10.86Boston University0.973.5%1st Place
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9.42University of Rhode Island1.423.8%1st Place
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9.96Northeastern University1.594.8%1st Place
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11.97Fairfield University0.422.5%1st Place
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12.4Tufts University0.542.5%1st Place
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11.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.082.5%1st Place
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7.04Yale University1.908.1%1st Place
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10.66Brown University1.013.3%1st Place
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12.75Olin College of Engineering0.461.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Flores | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 15.4% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 10.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Peter Joslin | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Oliver Stokke | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Blake Vogel | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 21.9% |
| Connor Macken | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.1% |
| Henry Lee | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.5% |
| Nolan Cooper | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 15.3% |
| Peter McGonagle | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 8.9% |
| Nathan Sih | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Sidney Moyer | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% |
| Peter Schnell | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 15.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.