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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.67+0.83vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.02+2.08vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota0.31+0.57vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago0.10-0.10vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.55+0.02vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-1.49+0.89vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-1.04-0.93vs Predicted
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8University of Saint Thomas-2.16-0.06vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-1.44-2.13vs Predicted
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10Saginaw Valley State University-2.68-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.83University of Wisconsin1.6750.6%1st Place
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4.08University of Michigan0.0210.1%1st Place
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3.57University of Minnesota0.3114.2%1st Place
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3.9University of Chicago0.1010.3%1st Place
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5.02Northwestern University-0.556.4%1st Place
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6.89Northwestern University-1.491.6%1st Place
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6.07University of Michigan-1.043.0%1st Place
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7.94University of Saint Thomas-2.161.3%1st Place
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6.87Northwestern University-1.441.8%1st Place
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8.82Saginaw Valley State University-2.680.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
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William Styslinger | 50.6% | 27.4% | 13.1% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Rachel Ward | 10.1% | 14.7% | 17.7% | 17.5% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
Fergus Munro | 14.2% | 19.3% | 19.6% | 16.8% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Alex Strassberg Alonso | 10.3% | 16.7% | 17.4% | 19.6% | 15.3% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Samantha Forgosh | 6.4% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 9.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
Garrison Guzzeau | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 16.4% | 20.1% | 18.2% | 8.3% |
Connor Caplis | 3.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 17.2% | 17.0% | 9.7% | 3.5% |
Brady Boland | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 15.0% | 27.7% | 25.7% |
Luke Sadalla | 1.8% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 17.4% | 20.3% | 17.6% | 8.3% |
Luiza Wernz Muller | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 20.4% | 52.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.