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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.33+6.57vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.48+4.96vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.10+1.79vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+4.47vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.82+4.37vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.20+1.99vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.23+0.77vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.71+1.71vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.80+0.47vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.02-1.12vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.81-1.44vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii2.07+0.66vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.91-4.11vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.88-5.12vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan2.08-2.71vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.23-8.19vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University1.62-3.01vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.77-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.57Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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6.96Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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4.79Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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8.47St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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9.37Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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7.99College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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7.77Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.71Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.47University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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8.88University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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9.56Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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12.66University of Hawaii2.070.0%1st Place
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8.89Eckerd College2.910.1%1st Place
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8.88U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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12.29University of Michigan2.080.0%1st Place
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7.81Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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13.99Western Washington University1.620.0%1st Place
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15.91University of Texas0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Whipple | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Briana Provancha | 6.9% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.8% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Sky Adams | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 10.0% |
| Kaye Siemers | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Amanda Baker | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 7.5% |
| Molly McKinney | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Ashley Vincent | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 12.5% | 23.4% | 18.8% |
| Masie Comen | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 18.1% | 52.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.