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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.48+3.67vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.90+4.97vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.80+8.56vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.42+4.60vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.86+2.27vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.97+1.48vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.43+1.92vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.06-1.28vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.09-2.90vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.54+2.47vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.97-0.24vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.59-1.94vs Predicted
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13Fairfield University0.42-1.14vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.01-3.27vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.42-5.66vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-4.54vs Predicted
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17Olin College of Engineering0.46-4.24vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33-4.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.67Harvard University2.4816.9%1st Place
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6.97Yale University1.908.3%1st Place
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11.56Tufts University0.802.5%1st Place
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8.6Brown University1.425.2%1st Place
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7.27Brown University1.867.8%1st Place
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7.48Boston College1.977.0%1st Place
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8.92Tufts University1.435.2%1st Place
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6.72Bowdoin College2.069.6%1st Place
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6.1Roger Williams University2.0911.5%1st Place
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12.47Tufts University0.542.1%1st Place
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10.76Boston University0.973.8%1st Place
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10.06Northeastern University1.593.8%1st Place
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11.86Fairfield University0.422.5%1st Place
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10.73Brown University1.013.5%1st Place
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9.34University of Rhode Island1.424.6%1st Place
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11.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.082.3%1st Place
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12.76Olin College of Engineering0.461.8%1st Place
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13.28Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.331.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 16.9% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Sih | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Blake Vogel | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% |
| Connor Macken | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Peter Joslin | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Jack Flores | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Stokke | 11.5% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 15.0% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% |
| Nolan Cooper | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 10.8% |
| Sidney Moyer | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% |
| Henry Lee | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Peter McGonagle | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% |
| Peter Schnell | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 16.6% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 20.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.