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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.82+8.56vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.88+7.44vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.10+1.79vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.02+4.55vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.23+2.71vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.48+0.83vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.80+2.51vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.07+4.21vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.20-1.19vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-1.15vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.91-1.81vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.33-4.31vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.23-5.44vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.81-4.77vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University1.62-1.16vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.71-6.05vs Predicted
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17University of Texas0.77-0.90vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan2.08-5.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.56Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.44U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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4.79Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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8.55University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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7.71Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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6.83Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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9.51University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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12.21University of Hawaii2.070.0%1st Place
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7.81College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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8.85St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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9.19Eckerd College2.910.1%1st Place
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7.69Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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7.56Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.23Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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13.84Western Washington University1.620.0%1st Place
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9.95Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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16.1University of Texas0.770.0%1st Place
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12.19University of Michigan2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Adams | 4.8% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Marissa Lihan | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.4% | 17.3% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Molly McKinney | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Briana Provancha | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 2.8% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 7.2% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Kaye Siemers | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Ashley Vincent | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 19.7% | 18.9% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| Masie Comen | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 14.6% | 56.8% |
| Amanda Baker | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.