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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.42+7.65vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.90+5.09vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.48+1.79vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.09+2.17vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.43+3.82vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.54+6.60vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.59+2.96vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.80+3.47vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.06-2.45vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.86-2.71vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.97-0.33vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.01-1.35vs Predicted
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13Boston College1.97-5.57vs Predicted
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14Olin College of Engineering0.46-1.25vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-3.63vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.42-6.59vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33-3.59vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University0.42-6.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.65Brown University1.425.1%1st Place
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7.09Yale University1.907.8%1st Place
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4.79Harvard University2.4816.3%1st Place
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6.17Roger Williams University2.0910.7%1st Place
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8.82Tufts University1.435.5%1st Place
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12.6Tufts University0.542.5%1st Place
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9.96Northeastern University1.594.8%1st Place
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11.47Tufts University0.803.1%1st Place
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6.55Bowdoin College2.068.2%1st Place
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7.29Brown University1.867.4%1st Place
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10.67Boston University0.973.1%1st Place
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10.65Brown University1.013.4%1st Place
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7.43Boston College1.978.6%1st Place
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12.75Olin College of Engineering0.461.5%1st Place
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11.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.083.1%1st Place
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9.41University of Rhode Island1.424.7%1st Place
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13.41Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.331.7%1st Place
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11.96Fairfield University0.422.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Macken | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Nathan Sih | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 16.3% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Flores | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 15.2% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% |
| Blake Vogel | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 4.9% |
| Sidney Moyer | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% |
| Peter Joslin | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Peter Schnell | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 15.6% |
| Peter McGonagle | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% |
| Henry Lee | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 21.6% |
| Nolan Cooper | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.