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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.36+7.43vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.71+4.94vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.74+3.81vs Predicted
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4Stanford University4.05+5.43vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+2.68vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.49+6.03vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College4.06+2.54vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston4.00+1.71vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.98+0.82vs Predicted
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10Tufts University4.08-0.31vs Predicted
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11Boston College4.43-2.95vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.83-1.10vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.56-1.49vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin4.10-4.96vs Predicted
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15Yale University4.19-6.06vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College3.28-3.08vs Predicted
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17University of Miami3.99-7.01vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University4.01-8.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.43Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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6.94Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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6.81Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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9.43Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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7.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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12.03University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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9.54Dartmouth College4.060.0%1st Place
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9.71College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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9.82Brown University3.980.0%1st Place
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9.69Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.05Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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10.9U. S. Naval Academy3.830.0%1st Place
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11.51Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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9.04University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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8.94Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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12.92SUNY Maritime College3.280.0%1st Place
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9.99University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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9.55Old Dominion University4.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Kopp | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| Alec Anderson | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Chris Barnard | 10.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Laube | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% |
| Samuel Blouin | 8.3% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Will Stocke | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 14.5% |
| Sam Williams | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.3% |
| Samuel Stokes | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% |
| Colin Smith | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% |
| William Haeger | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% |
| Anne Haeger | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Alex Ramos | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% |
| Ryan Pesch | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 11.7% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% |
| Joseph Morris | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| Randall Hartranft | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 22.3% |
| Nicholas Voss | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.