← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin4.10+8.58vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University4.74+4.87vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University4.36+5.43vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University4.05+5.43vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida3.49+6.82vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston4.00+3.81vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College4.06+2.52vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University4.08+1.38vs Predicted
-
9Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-1.37vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University4.71-2.97vs Predicted
-
11Old Dominion University4.01-1.00vs Predicted
-
12Boston University3.56+0.01vs Predicted
-
13Yale University4.19-4.14vs Predicted
-
14SUNY Maritime College3.28-1.54vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Naval Academy3.83-4.49vs Predicted
-
16University of Miami3.99-6.05vs Predicted
-
17Brown University3.98-6.99vs Predicted
-
18Boston College4.43-10.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.58University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
-
6.87Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
-
8.43Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
-
9.43Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
-
11.82University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
-
9.81College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
-
9.52Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
-
9.38Tufts University4.080.0%1st Place
-
7.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
-
7.03Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
-
10.0Old Dominion University4.010.0%1st Place
-
12.01Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
-
8.86Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
-
12.46SUNY Maritime College3.280.0%1st Place
-
10.51U. S. Naval Academy3.830.0%1st Place
-
9.95University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
-
10.01Brown University3.980.0%1st Place
-
7.72Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Chris Barnard | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Brendan Kopp | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Kevin Laube | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% |
| Will Stocke | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 14.6% |
| Samuel Stokes | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% |
| Sam Williams | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% |
| William Haeger | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% |
| Samuel Blouin | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Alec Anderson | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Dillon Paiva | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.9% |
| Ryan Pesch | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 15.4% |
| Joseph Morris | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Randall Hartranft | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 19.7% |
| Alex Ramos | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% |
| Nicholas Voss | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% |
| Colin Smith | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% |
| Anne Haeger | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.