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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.74+5.94vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+5.91vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.98+7.10vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.43+3.83vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College4.06+4.47vs Predicted
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6University of Miami3.99+3.83vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.28+5.79vs Predicted
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8Harvard University4.36+0.18vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.19-0.05vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin4.10-0.37vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston4.00-1.03vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.56-0.03vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University4.71-6.30vs Predicted
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14Tufts University4.08-4.89vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.49-3.11vs Predicted
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16Stanford University4.05-6.41vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University4.01-7.16vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy3.83-7.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.94Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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7.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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10.1Brown University3.980.0%1st Place
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7.83Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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9.47Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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9.83University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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12.79SUNY Maritime College3.280.0%1st Place
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8.18Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.95Yale University4.190.0%1st Place
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9.63University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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9.97College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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11.97Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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6.7Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.11Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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11.89University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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9.59Stanford University4.050.0%1st Place
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9.84Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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10.31U. S. Naval Academy3.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Barnard | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Blouin | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| Colin Smith | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 3.9% |
| Anne Haeger | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Sam Williams | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% |
| Nicholas Voss | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% |
| Randall Hartranft | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 20.8% |
| Brendan Kopp | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% |
| Joseph Morris | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% |
| Samuel Stokes | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% |
| Ryan Pesch | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 16.1% |
| Alec Anderson | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Will Stocke | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 13.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% |
| Alex Ramos | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.