← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University1.86+6.33vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College2.06+4.50vs Predicted
-
3Brown University1.42+5.96vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University2.48+0.74vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University2.09+1.23vs Predicted
-
6Boston College1.97+1.32vs Predicted
-
7Brown University1.01+3.85vs Predicted
-
8Yale University1.90-0.77vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University0.54+3.64vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University1.59+0.05vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University1.43-1.83vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island1.42-2.68vs Predicted
-
13Boston University0.97-2.01vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33-0.74vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-3.46vs Predicted
-
16Fairfield University0.42-3.92vs Predicted
-
17Olin College of Engineering0.46-4.25vs Predicted
-
18Tufts University1.20-7.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.33Brown University1.868.2%1st Place
-
6.5Bowdoin College2.0610.3%1st Place
-
8.96Brown University1.425.2%1st Place
-
4.74Harvard University2.4816.6%1st Place
-
6.23Roger Williams University2.0910.8%1st Place
-
7.32Boston College1.977.0%1st Place
-
10.85Brown University1.013.6%1st Place
-
7.23Yale University1.907.3%1st Place
-
12.64Tufts University0.542.0%1st Place
-
10.05Northeastern University1.594.3%1st Place
-
9.17Tufts University1.434.8%1st Place
-
9.32University of Rhode Island1.424.8%1st Place
-
10.99Boston University0.973.4%1st Place
-
13.26Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.331.7%1st Place
-
11.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.082.5%1st Place
-
12.08Fairfield University0.422.1%1st Place
-
12.75Olin College of Engineering0.461.9%1st Place
-
10.05Tufts University1.203.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Borcherding | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Sam Bonauto | 10.3% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Connor Macken | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 16.6% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Peter Joslin | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Sidney Moyer | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.2% |
| Nathan Sih | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 16.5% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% |
| Jack Flores | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Henry Lee | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 21.6% |
| Peter McGonagle | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.7% |
| Nolan Cooper | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 10.8% |
| Peter Schnell | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 17.8% |
| Courtland Doyle | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.