← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.48+3.85vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island1.42+7.31vs Predicted
-
3Boston College1.97+4.65vs Predicted
-
4Yale University1.90+2.97vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College2.06+1.84vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University1.43+3.02vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08+4.58vs Predicted
-
8Brown University1.86-0.93vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University1.59+0.90vs Predicted
-
10Boston University0.97+0.84vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University0.54+1.74vs Predicted
-
12Olin College of Engineering0.46+0.88vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University1.20-2.73vs Predicted
-
14Roger Williams University2.09-7.71vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33-1.64vs Predicted
-
16Brown University1.42-7.27vs Predicted
-
17Fairfield University0.42-4.80vs Predicted
-
18Brown University1.01-7.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.85Harvard University2.4815.2%1st Place
-
9.31University of Rhode Island1.425.2%1st Place
-
7.65Boston College1.977.2%1st Place
-
6.97Yale University1.907.8%1st Place
-
6.84Bowdoin College2.068.6%1st Place
-
9.02Tufts University1.435.1%1st Place
-
11.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.082.5%1st Place
-
7.07Brown University1.868.1%1st Place
-
9.9Northeastern University1.595.0%1st Place
-
10.84Boston University0.973.2%1st Place
-
12.74Tufts University0.541.5%1st Place
-
12.88Olin College of Engineering0.462.3%1st Place
-
10.27Tufts University1.204.2%1st Place
-
6.29Roger Williams University2.0910.2%1st Place
-
13.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.331.9%1st Place
-
8.73Brown University1.425.8%1st Place
-
12.2Fairfield University0.421.6%1st Place
-
10.51Brown University1.014.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 15.2% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Lee | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Peter Joslin | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Nathan Sih | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jack Flores | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Peter McGonagle | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.7% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.5% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 16.1% |
| Peter Schnell | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 16.5% |
| Courtland Doyle | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 21.9% |
| Connor Macken | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.5% |
| Sidney Moyer | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.