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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.36+7.42vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College4.06+7.81vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.19+6.18vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.43+3.84vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.28+7.56vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.49+5.95vs Predicted
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7University of Miami3.99+2.78vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.83+2.46vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University4.01+0.73vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin4.10-0.30vs Predicted
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11Tufts University4.08-1.36vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University4.74-4.97vs Predicted
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13Stanford University4.05-3.58vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University4.71-7.45vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-7.38vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston4.00-6.13vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.98-7.02vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.56-6.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.42Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.81Dartmouth College4.060.0%1st Place
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9.18Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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7.84Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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12.56SUNY Maritime College3.280.0%1st Place
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11.95University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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9.78University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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10.46U. S. Naval Academy3.830.0%1st Place
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9.73Old Dominion University4.010.0%1st Place
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9.7University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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9.64Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.03Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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9.42Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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6.55Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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7.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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9.87College of Charleston4.000.0%1st Place
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9.98Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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11.45Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Kopp | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Sam Williams | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% |
| Joseph Morris | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Anne Haeger | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% |
| Randall Hartranft | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 21.3% |
| Will Stocke | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 16.2% |
| Nicholas Voss | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% |
| Alex Ramos | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% |
| Dillon Paiva | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 3.3% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 6.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 3.8% |
| William Haeger | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% |
| Chris Barnard | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Kevin Laube | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 10.0% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Blouin | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% |
| Samuel Stokes | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% |
| Colin Smith | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% |
| Ryan Pesch | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.