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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+5.93vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.56+9.84vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.43+5.06vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.64+7.16vs Predicted
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5University of Miami3.99+4.71vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.49+5.93vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.74-0.43vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.19+0.82vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-1.44vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin4.10-0.49vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.98-1.06vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.28+1.00vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College4.06-3.66vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.83-3.95vs Predicted
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15Tufts University4.08-5.70vs Predicted
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16Harvard University4.36-7.84vs Predicted
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17Stanford University4.05-7.36vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University4.01-8.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.93Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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11.84Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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8.06Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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11.16College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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9.71University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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11.93University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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6.57Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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8.82Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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7.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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9.51University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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9.94Brown University3.980.0%1st Place
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13.0SUNY Maritime College3.280.0%1st Place
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9.34Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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10.05U. S. Naval Academy3.830.0%1st Place
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9.3Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.16Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.64Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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9.49Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Pesch | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.4% |
| Anne Haeger | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Mac Mace | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.4% |
| Nicholas Voss | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% |
| Will Stocke | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 14.5% |
| Chris Barnard | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Morris | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% |
| Samuel Blouin | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% |
| Colin Smith | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% |
| Randall Hartranft | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 22.5% |
| Sam Williams | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% |
| Alex Ramos | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% |
| William Haeger | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% |
| Brendan Kopp | 7.0% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Kevin Laube | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.